Biyernes, Mayo 4, 2012

[Midterm] Inflation Puts Skids Under High Street Sales


Miyerkules, Abril 18, 2012

[Prelim] China’s Economic Growth Falls to Nearly Three-year Low

By JOE McDONALD | Associated Press – Fri, Apr 13, 2012
BEIJING (AP) — China’s economic growth fell to its lowest level in nearly three years in the first quarter but analysts said the economy should rebound in coming months.
Growth in the world’s second-biggest economy declined to a still-robust 8.1 percent in the three months ending in March, data showed Friday. That was down from the previous quarter’s 8.9 percent and the weakest rate since the second quarter of 2009.
China’s rapid growth has declined steadily since 2010 as a slump in global demand battered its exporters and Beijing tightened lending and investment curbs to cool an overheated economy and surging inflation.
An uncontrolled slump could have global repercussions, hurting demand for oil, industrial components and consumer goods at a time when U.S. and European growth are weak. It also might fuel political tensions in China as the ruling Communist Party prepares for a sensitive, once-a-decade handover of power to younger leaders.
“This quarter’s growth was pretty weak,” said IHS Global Insight analyst Xianfang Ren. “Starting from next quarter, growth should strengthen.”
The World Bank and International Monetary Fund expect 8.2 percent growth for China this year, below 2010′s explosive 10.4 percent expansion but far ahead of the low single-digit forecasts for the United States, Japan and Europe.
Other data showed Chinese factory activity, retail sales and exports accelerating over the course of the first quarter, though still weaker than last year.

Link of the article...


-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

P E R S O N A L  R E A C T I O N 

We are all acquainted with the fact that what happens in China doesn’t only stays in China. Instead, it impacts the entire world. They are the largest exporter and second largest importer of goods after United States. As a major commodities source, a slower China would likely mean lower prices for oil, copper, iron ore and other raw materials, dampening the growth in many emerging markets. In other words, if China’s economic growth rate declines, everybody will feel it.

In my opinion, it is very difficult to tell what’s really going on in the Chinese economy. Data is sparse or unreliable. And China is in certain ways unique in economic terms. Valid precedents are hard to find. But then, the more I look at this issue, the more convinced I am that their current economic system right now is unsustainable. We know we can’t escape math in terms of economics. If the numbers don’t add up, it doesn’t matter much how big our economy might be or how fast it is growing or how heavy a role the state might play. And China has lots of numbers that just don’t add up. Their state of capitalism creates a big part of the bad math.

I suggest the need for them to shift already to a different growth strategy; one based less on investment or exports, and more on domestic consumption. They must operate on a more commercial basis to make sure investment goes where it is truly needed.

More importantly, I think the world should be more worried about the potential fallout from a China that doesn’t slow down than a China that does. Sure, reduced Chinese growth will hurt the global economy. But an unreformed China that refuses to change its economic model and promotes growth at all costs is a much bigger danger to world economic stability. 


Martes, Abril 10, 2012

caught in momentum.




Jenny. n.
Cogito ergo sum. I think therefore I exist.
Seventeen, turning eighteen next June 25th. I live somewhere along the south, Philippines where it’s always bright and sunny except for the monsoons. 
The sense of accomplishment fuels me, and I think the scent of fresh coffee, spring rain and new books are the best smells in the world. White makes everything pretty, as so pink and blue. Hot chocolate with marshmallows, a good movie, manga, fanfic and/or a nice pen and my notepad are my rainy day companions. The sound of rain is music to my ears, and it’s always the little things that matter to me.
Unconscious bitch stares are also part of the equation. Pessimist and narcissist, I tend to think too much. Paranoia is always present too, so is clumsiness. I’m not a fan of mediocrity, but procrastination always takes the lead. How I succeed with things is up to you to figure out. 
My love life? It’s complicated.  But there is someone special, someone I used  to like so much. Well, I believe it is better to let gravity do the motion than to forcely grab the affection without attraction.
I swear that someday, I will travel around the world, take pictures that will speak volumes and write words that will move people.  
So there you go. By now you’ve probably deduced that I’m nothing but an ordinary teenager. I am. I just like to make extraordinary choices. But right now, I’m just getting there. Inspiring the world, one person at a time. And one day, they would lead to something big, something that I do not foresee yet, but know in my heart that it will come to pass. ♥